Jerry's Conundrum

For now, our boy Jerry is having it both ways. He has driven the fed funds rate dramatically higher over the past two years but, on the surface, the U.S. economy has seemed to continue growing. But now inflation is returning and Jerry has said that any weakness in the labor market will bring a rate cut, inflation be damned. So what happens in the months ahead is going to present Jerry with quite the conundrum.

That's a topic for another day, I suppose, and all eyes should shift to the labor market and every report going forward that portends to reveal its status. BLSBSs, JOLTSs,...

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Key Economic Events Week of 12/16

12/16 8:30 ET Empire Fed
12/16 9:45 ET S&P flash PMIs
12/17 8:30 ET Retail Sales
12/17 9:15 ET Cap Ute & Ind Prod
12/18 8:30 ET Housing Starts
12/18 2:00 ET FOMC Fedlines
12/18 2:30 ET Jerry presser
12/19 8:30 ET Jobless Claims
12/19 8:30 ET Q3 GDP final guess
12/19 8:30 ET Philly Fed
12/19 10:00 ET LEIII
12/20 8:30 ET PCE and Core PCE
12/20 8:30 ET Personal Inc & Spend
12/20 10:00 ET UMich Dec sentiment

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