Just More Adjustments

At first glance, today's update on retail sales for September seemed "strong" and robust", the sort of thing that should make the FOMC think twice about fifty more basis points in cuts before year end. But, if you dig deeper, you find that the report... just like the BLSBS of two weeks ago ...was heavily goosed by "seasonal adjustments", allowing for the appearance of a "solid consumer" right before the election.

So, here's the headline number that hit at 8:30 ET. Looks great, doesn't it?!?...

About the Author

Founder
tfmetalsreport [at] gmail [dot] com ()

49 Comments on Just More Adjustments

Subscribe or login to read all comments.

Support TFMR

Donate Buy Silver

Access Subscriber Benefits

Listen to TFMR on the go in your favorite podcast app, and join our member-only forum discussions!

Key Economic Events Week of 12/16

12/16 8:30 ET Empire Fed
12/16 9:45 ET S&P flash PMIs
12/17 8:30 ET Retail Sales
12/17 9:15 ET Cap Ute & Ind Prod
12/18 8:30 ET Housing Starts
12/18 2:00 ET FOMC Fedlines
12/18 2:30 ET Jerry presser
12/19 8:30 ET Jobless Claims
12/19 8:30 ET Q3 GDP final guess
12/19 8:30 ET Philly Fed
12/19 10:00 ET LEIII
12/20 8:30 ET PCE and Core PCE
12/20 8:30 ET Personal Inc & Spend
12/20 10:00 ET UMich Dec sentiment

Recent Comments

by PMtoxopholite, 44 min 18 sec ago
by turd ferguson, 48 min 42 sec ago
by PMtoxopholite, 1 hour 14 min ago
by jbjr57, 1 hour 47 min ago