Just More Adjustments

At first glance, today's update on retail sales for September seemed "strong" and robust", the sort of thing that should make the FOMC think twice about fifty more basis points in cuts before year end. But, if you dig deeper, you find that the report... just like the BLSBS of two weeks ago ...was heavily goosed by "seasonal adjustments", allowing for the appearance of a "solid consumer" right before the election.

So, here's the headline number that hit at 8:30 ET. Looks great, doesn't it?!?...

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Key Economic Events Week of 12/2

12/2 9:45 ET S&P Manu PMI
12/2 10:00 ET ISM Manu PMI
12/2 10:00 ET Construction Spending
12/3 10:00 ET JOLTS
12/4 8:15 ET ADP jobs report
12/4 9:45 ET S&P Services PMI
12/4 10:00 ET ISM Services PMI
12/4 10:00 ET Factory Orders
12/4 2:00 ET Beige Book
12/5 8:30 ET Jobless Claims
12/6 8:30 ET BLSBS
12/6 10:00 ET Dec Prelim UMich
12/6 10:30 ET Goon Ghoulsbee

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